PolyQuant Platform Dashboard · Not Live Data
The market shows you the odds.
We find you the opportunity.
Discover prediction market opportunities through historical intelligence, real-time conditions, and powerful screening tools. Compare Kalshi and Polymarket side by side, analyze model probabilities, and identify potential trading edges.
Opportunity Discovery
Your market. Your filters. Your edge.
Explore the PolyQuant experience. Search markets and narrow potential opportunities by historical performance, liquidity, and estimated edge.
Opportunity Screener
Compare and filter market opportunities
Above 78°F · Trade NO
Kalshi
Best Net EdgeModel Probability
97.0%
Net Edge
+8.0%
NO Ask
88.0¢
Expected ROI
+9.0%
Liquidity
$1,240
Historical Wins
71%
Sample Size
84
Est. Fee
1.0¢
Polymarket
Model Probability
97.0%
Net Edge
+5.5%
NO Ask
91.0¢
Expected ROI
+6.0%
Liquidity
$850
Historical Wins
71%
Sample Size
84
Est. Fee
0.5¢
Current Temp
78°F
Observed High
78°F
Remaining Forecast High
77°F
Temperature Trend
↘ Falling
Simulated weather observations for product demonstration. Not a live NWS feed or official settlement data.
70–71°F · Trade YES
Kalshi
Best Net EdgeModel Probability
64.0%
Net Edge
+11.0%
YES Ask
52.0¢
Expected ROI
+20.8%
Liquidity
$2,800
Historical Wins
64%
Sample Size
112
Est. Fee
1.0¢
Polymarket
Model Probability
64.0%
Net Edge
+9.5%
YES Ask
54.0¢
Expected ROI
+17.4%
Liquidity
$1,900
Historical Wins
64%
Sample Size
112
Est. Fee
0.5¢
Current Temp
70°F
Observed High
70°F
Remaining Forecast High
69°F
Temperature Trend
↘ Falling
Simulated weather observations for product demonstration. Not a live NWS feed or official settlement data.
Home team wins · Trade YES
Kalshi
Model Probability
59.0%
Net Edge
+6.0%
YES Ask
52.0¢
Expected ROI
+11.3%
Liquidity
$12,000
Historical Wins
59%
Sample Size
230
Est. Fee
1.0¢
Polymarket
Best Net EdgeModel Probability
59.0%
Net Edge
+8.5%
YES Ask
50.0¢
Expected ROI
+16.8%
Liquidity
$18,200
Historical Wins
59%
Sample Size
230
Est. Fee
0.5¢
Above target price · Trade YES
Kalshi
Best Net EdgeModel Probability
75.0%
Net Edge
+9.0%
YES Ask
65.0¢
Expected ROI
+13.6%
Liquidity
$7,400
Historical Wins
62%
Sample Size
156
Est. Fee
1.0¢
Polymarket
Model Probability
75.0%
Net Edge
+8.5%
YES Ask
66.0¢
Expected ROI
+12.8%
Liquidity
$9,600
Historical Wins
62%
Sample Size
156
Est. Fee
0.5¢
Above 89°F · Trade NO
Kalshi
Best Net EdgeModel Probability
67.0%
Net Edge
+5.0%
NO Ask
61.0¢
Expected ROI
+8.1%
Liquidity
$950
Historical Wins
57%
Sample Size
97
Est. Fee
1.0¢
Polymarket
Below FiltersModel Probability
67.0%
Net Edge
+3.5%
NO Ask
63.0¢
Expected ROI
+5.5%
Liquidity
$1,150
Historical Wins
57%
Sample Size
97
Est. Fee
0.5¢
Current Temp
88°F
Observed High
88°F
Remaining Forecast High
89°F
Temperature Trend
↗ Rising
Simulated weather observations for product demonstration. Not a live NWS feed or official settlement data.
Interactive demonstration only. All market prices, probabilities, liquidity, fees, and historical results are fictional. The comparison assumes identical contract settlement rules. Net edge is calculated before slippage.
Beyond Odds Comparison
Built to find what
others overlook.
Comparing prices is only the beginning. PolyQuant is being designed to help traders understand why an opportunity exists and whether historical evidence supports it.
Discover potential market inefficiencies, evaluate historical performance, and make more informed trading decisions using quantitative analytics.
PolyQuant is not associated with Kalshi, Polymarket, or any other prediction trading platforms.
Discover opportunities
Search prediction markets across categories and identify contracts worth investigating.
Historical intelligence
Evaluate signals using historical market behavior, observed outcomes, and comparable conditions.
Filter your edge
Screen by estimated edge, liquidity, market category, and historical signal performance.
Condition-aware signals
Identify opportunities using weather observations, market movements, and external data.
Custom alerts
Get notified when markets match your screening criteria. Planned for a future release.
Execution-aware analysis
Evaluate fees, liquidity, and potential slippage before deciding whether to trade.
What if the temperature has already peaked... but the market hasn't caught up?
Imagine a daily high-temperature market where observations suggest the peak has already occurred, yet the market continues pricing a meaningful chance of additional warming.
PolyQuant aims to identify these situations by combining market prices, weather observations, forecasts, and historical outcomes.
The goal isn't to predict every outcome. It's to help traders see the true probability of a trade.
Las Vegas · Daily High
Observed Maximum
75°F
Remaining Forecast High
74°F
The daily maximum can still increase, and settlement-source rules, delayed observations, and reporting revisions matter.
The Workflow
From thousands of markets to the few that matter.
01
Search
Explore weather, sports, crypto, and other prediction market categories.
02
Filter
Apply historical performance, liquidity, price, and signal criteria.
03
Evaluate
Review supporting evidence, potential execution costs, and historical context.
Stop scrolling through markets.
Start finding opportunities.
PolyQuant is in development. Get ready for a smarter way to discover, filter, and evaluate prediction market opportunities.
Early access coming soon. No payment required.